COOL DOWN on the way!

Hello everybody! True fall weather is on its way! The much anticipated cold front is due to arrive in Austin early Saturday morning. Ahead of the front for Thursday and Friday expect cloudy, muggy, foggy, and drizzly mornings in the 70s which will give way to partly cloudy, steamy, and warm conditions during the afternoon with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. There is a 20% chance for rain on both Thursday and Friday with a 30% chance for showers as the front moves through the region on Saturday.

Behind the front on Saturday, north winds will kick up and MUCH drier and cooler air will invade the area from the north. Highs will be in the 70s on Saturday behind the front with lows falling into the 50s area wide by early Sunday morning. Some lingering cloud cover looks to be possible behind the front on Saturday, however, that will help it feel even cooler. Winds may gust as high as 25-30 mph behind the front.

GFS Model Showing the Front blowing in early Saturday Morning!!

Sunday looks to be an absolutely gorgeous day with highs only managing the 70s to near 80°F in a few locations under a clear, blue sky. Humidity will nearly be non-existent as dew points will likely fall into the 30s across the region. Keep in mind our dew point today has been in the 60s and lower 70s making it feel oppressively humid out there. 

Lows Sunday night will plummet into the lower 50s here in Austin with 40s expected in rural locations. Highs will gradually warm as we head into the beginning and middle of next week as southerly winds return. Earlier model runs were indicating a second, possibly stronger front next weekend, however, it is way too soon to say for sure if that will actually happen. 

Hurricane Season is not over, and believe it or not, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring an impressive area of strong convection (thunderstorm activity) across the southern Gulf of Mexico. This cluster of storms is beginning to look like it is going to form into a tropical storm and push into the northeastern Gulf by Friday...too soon to say where it is going to make landfall, however, latest model runs show anywhere from the central Louisiana coast all the way to the western Florida peninsula to be in the cone of uncertainty. The approaching front and a large trough of low pressure over the central US will keep the disturbance away from Texas and push it north and east.

Visible Satellite Image of the area being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (Photo was taken earlier today):

GFS Model showing the system turning into a strong tropical storm and making landfall in the Florida Panhandle early Sunday morning: