Weekend Forecast & Beyond

Hello everybody! The weekend is almost here. Moisture levels are beginning to increase across the area today ahead of a weak cool front that will stall out just north of central Texas this weekend. This front will be the focus for the development of showers and thunderstorms. The best rain chances look to be north and west of Austin this weekend. I'm putting our chances for precipitation at 40% on Saturday and 30% on Sunday. Highs will still be able to climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s over the weekend, however, lows will be coming up considerably from where they have been in the 50s and 60s into the 70s thanks to the very humid/moist Gulf of Mexico air that will be in place. Honestly, I'm not very excited about our rain chances this weekend. By no means is this going to be a repeat of wonderful rain event we received last Friday. 

Models keep the highest rainfall totals NORTH of central Texas along the frontal boundary:

 

Rain chances will begin to dwindle on Monday and continues will begin to dry out. Looking at the long range forecast, the GFS Model has been consistent in bringing us a true cold front come next weekend. This front looks to have the potential to bring us some good rainfall as well as some significantly cooler temperatures. Highs may only make the 70s with lows in the 40s and 50s. Nice!!! Please keep in mind that this forecast is a ways out, however, it is beginning to look like cooler air is on the way.

GFS Model showing cold front moving through Texas next Friday:

Weekend Forecast:

Friday: Partly cloudy, mild and humid start in the 70s will give way to a partly cloudy, hot and humid afternoon with highs in the lower 90s. Thanks to the increased moisture, heat index values will climb to near the century mark.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, warm, and muggy start will give way to a mostly cloudy warm and humid day with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Rain chances will increase throughout the day; 40% chance for showers and storms. 

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, warm and humid with highs in the 80s; there is a 30-40% chance for showers and storms.