Gulf of Mexico moisture is beginning to stream back into central Texas. The area of high pressure that has been over the area for the past several days has shifted to our east. The clockwise flow around high pressure has allowed for southeasterly winds to return. Dew points that were in the 40's area wide yesterday are now approaching the 60 degree mark. As temperatures fall into the upper 50's and 60's area wide overnight they will meet up with the dew point temperature. When the temperature and dew point meet the humidity is at 100%. With this being mentioned, expect low clouds, areas of fog and drizzle, and spotty light rain showers to develop tonight and persist through the first half of Saturday. Saturday afternoon skies should turn partly sunny allowing for highs to make it into the upper 70's to near 80°F in spots. Spotty light rain showers possible throughout the day.
As the main disturbance (upper level storm system) approaches the area late Saturday and into the early morning hours of Sunday, is when I'm expecting showers and thunderstorms to become likely. According to the latest high resolution forecast models, a complex of showers and storms, some on the strong side, will develop north of central Texas and push south into our area early Sunday morning. Rain should be gone by the time we head into late Sunday morning and Sunday afternoon.
Forecast Radar at 12:00 a.m. Sunday morning: Big storms pushing into the northern Hill Country
Forecast Radar at 7:00 a.m. Sunday morning: Line of heavy showers and storms pushing through much of central Texas
This particular model is forecasting anywhere from 0.50 to as much as 3 inches of rain. The highest totals look to fall across the Hill Country; We will keep our fingers crossed.
GFS Model is showing a good 0.50 to as much as 2 inches of rain falling across the area over the weekend.
***Rain chances return to the area once again Tuesday evening, Wednesday, and Thursday of next week as another storm system and a stronger cold front approach the area***
Early Look at Halloween:
Halloween is next Thursday. Next Wednesday, according to the latest computer models looks to be rather stormy around a good chunk of the state of Texas as a cold front pushes through. Strong storms, possibly severe, are possible.
Halloween looks to start off cloudy, however, clear throughout the day, breezy, cooler and drier behind Wednesday's front. Highs look to be in the 70s with lows falling into the 50s late Halloween night.
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