Friday, December 14, 2012

TRACKING OUR NEXT COLD FRONT

Computer models continue to indicate our next blast of colder weather will arrive late Wednesday into Thursday of next week. Both the GFS (American) and the ECMWF (European) Computer Models agree on much cooler weather arriving here in central Texas for the second half of next week. Unfortunately, models show this front coming through the region without any precipitation. However, models do agree that this should be a very windy front. High winds and severe drought conditions get me worried for the risk of wildfires. 


This front looks to take temperatures from the 70s for highs back down into the 50s with overnight lows dropping back down into the 30s. Too early to say just how cold it is going to get or if we will see another widespread freeze across central Texas. Ahead of the front for Saturday-Wednesday temperatures will be well above normal in the 70s. In fact, some places may get close to 80ºF this weekend.

Ahead of the front temperatures will be well above normal, however behind the front temperatures will be below normal.

Ahead:

Behind:

This is a look at the GFS Model (focused on Texas):

Wednesday: Temperatures will climb well into the 70s


Thursday: Colder air arrives on gusty northwesterly winds


This is a look at the ECMWF Model (focused on Texas):



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