Friday, January 29, 2016

Friday Update

Friday Afternoon Weather Update

Highs have soared into the 70s across all of south central Texas this afternoon on breezy southerly winds...this warm air has made it all the way north into southern Kansas.

3 P.M. Temperatures across the Lower 48


Map above courtesy of Wright-Weather.com 

...Mostly sunny skies and warmer temperatures expected for the upcoming weekend and into Monday of next week ahead of a windy Tuesday cold front...

Saturday...cool start in the 40s gives way to a mostly sunny, warm, and breezy day with highs expected to top out in the mid to upper 70s area wide...

Saturday Night...Mostly clear and mild with lows dipping into the 50s area wide...patchy areas of fog and/or low clouds possible by early Sunday morning thanks to returning Gulf Moisture

Sunday...Patchy morning fog/clouds give way to a mostly sunny and potentially record warm afternoon with highs expected to peak in the upper 70s to lower 80s area wide...while winds at the surface will be out of the south, winds aloft (above the surface) will be blowing out of the west southwest off of the higher terrain of northern Mexico; warm/dry desert air will be mixing down to the surface.

Sunday Night...partly cloudy and breezy with lows dropping into the 50s...low clouds possible by Monday morning on southerly winds.

...Record high temperatures will be in jeopardy on Sunday...the current record in Austin stands at 83°F set back in 1911...82°F at the airport set back in 1971...

Monday...Partly cloudy, breezy and warm with highs in the upper 70s to near 80°F in some locations

Changes Arrive Late Monday Night into Tuesday Morning
...Upper level disturbance and its associated surface low pressure system and attendant cold fronts to move across the area late Monday into Tuesday of next week...slight chance for showers and/or a thunderstorm late Monday into Tuesday morning...no severe weather is expected...

...Forecast Rainfall Accumulation through next Wednesday for the south central United States according to the GFS (American) Forecast Model (here's a hint: it's not predicting much if any rainfall accumulation here across south central Texas, despite the brief opportunity for some rain late Monday night/Tuesday morning)...


Image courtesy of Pivotal Weather...if you are interested in viewing model data for yourselves click HERE

...WINDY conditions expected on Tuesday behind a Pacific Cold Front...dry air, gusty west, northwesterly winds, and dry vegetation will increase fire danger across south central Texas...colder air will filter into the area Tuesday evening and early Wednesday as winds turn more northerly across the area...winds will be sustained out of the west northwest between 15-25 mph with gusts of over 30 mph possible.

...Forecast Wind Speeds across Texas for noon Tuesday according to the GFS Forecast Model...showing very windy conditions across the area...


Image above courtesy of Pivotal Weather

...Highs drop from near 80°F on Monday into the 60s on Tuesday and eventually into the 50s by Wednesday under a sunny sky...

...Light freeze possible for areas north and west of Austin Tuesday night with a widespread freeze possible across all of south central Texas Wednesday night...


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