Storm Chances Increasing

Thursday's Record Heat

The temperature soared to 92°F at Austin's Camp Mabry Thursday afternoon beating the previous record high of 89°F set back in 2017. Austin Bergstrom International Airport missed their record high of 92°F set back in 1958 by one degree. Abundant sunshine, abnormally dry conditions, and a down-sloping westerly component to the wind on Thursday allowed temperatures to soar. Keep in mind the average high temperature for this time of year is closer to 77°F.

Weekend Storm Chances

A series of upper level disturbances will be passing through the state of Texas this weekend and each disturbance will bring us a chance for showers and thunderstorms. A few of which will have the potential to be on the strong/severe side with large hail & damaging winds being the primary threats. The best chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms will come on Saturday (especially Saturday morning into early Saturday afternoon), but rain chances will begin to increase late tonight (most likely after 11 pm).

Severe Weather Risk: SLIGHT 

Given the potential for some isolated to scattered severe weather, the Storm Prediction Center out of Norman, Oklahoma has placed a large portion of central and east Texas under the SLIGHT RISK area for potential severe weather on Saturday and shifted the SLIGHT RISK area for potential severe weather farther east for Sunday. The severe weather threat will stay west of the area today. See outlooks below. 

Friday Severe Weather Risk Area

Saturday Severe Weather Risk Area

Sunday Severe Weather Risk Area

Understanding Severe Weather Risk Outlooks

Forecast Rainfall Accumulation

Between late Friday night through Sunday afternoon, 1-2 inches of rain may fall across central Texas with some areas potentially seeing more and some areas potentially seeing less. Areas west of the IH-35 corridor may see less than areas east. Flash flooding does NOT look to be a concern at this point in time, but if things do change always remember TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN.

NWS Forecast Rainfall Accumulation (1-3 Day Outlook)

valid now through early Monday AM