Severe Weather Risk Areas through 6 a.m. Sunday Morning:
Severe Weather Risk Areas after 6 a.m. Sunday Morning:
>According to the Storm Prediction Center, an ENHANCED RISK of severe weather means numerous severe storms are possible...the severe storms that are able to develop will be more persistent and/or widespread...a few of those severe storms may become intense potentially producing a few tornadoes, and/or several reports of wind damage, and/or damaging hail of 1-2 inches in diameter.
>The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a TORNADO WATCH for a large portion of north central and north Texas into southeastern Oklahoma through 8 p.m. this evening. This watch does include Temple/Killeen, Waco, and Dallas/Fort Worth.
Tornado Watch Details:
>The SPC warns that a few tornadoes will be possible within and in the vicinity of the watch box, along with the potential for some isolated large damaging hail and some isolated damaging thunderstorm wind gusts to 70 mph.
>>>No watches/warnings are currently in effect for south central Texas, however, the SPC is monitoring our area closely. As of their latest forecast discussion, the SPC is giving our area a 40% chance of being placed under a weather watch over the next several hours.
Evening/Overnight Forecast:
Scattered storms will continue to develop and move north across the area through the evening and late night hours...some of the storms that develop will become strong/possibly severe with heavy rainfall, lightning, gusty winds, some small hail, and perhaps a tornado or two. The atmosphere is ripe for severe weather and wind profiles are favorable for rotating storms to develop which may in turn allow for a tornado or two to spin up. Please keep an eye to the sky and have a way of receiving the latest watches/warnings issued by the National Weather Service. If you have turned off the severe weather alerts on your smart phones, now would be a good time to turn those back on...they may end up saving your life!
Southerly winds will remain breezy through the evening and may actually increase overnight tonight as the weather system approaches the area...think of these moist, southerly winds as fuel for the storms this evening and overnight and into Sunday morning.
Warm & moist southerly winds off of the Gulf will keep temperatures warm across the area through the overnight hours in the 70s...big temperature drop arrives behind the front Sunday morning!
Severe Weather Risk:
Our risk of severe weather is developing ahead of a potent upper level Pacific storm system and its associated Canadian Cold Front. As this system approaches and moves through the area late tonight into Sunday morning widespread showers and storms will develop. Some of the storms will have the potential of becoming severe. As the cold front moves through the area early Sunday morning, I'm expecting a line of strong storms to push from west to east across the region. This line of storms will have the potential to bring many locations within south central Texas strong wind gusts and heavy rainfall.
MUCH COLDER AIR moves in behind this weather system and cold front on Sunday with lows dropping into the 30s area wide by Monday morning!
Let's continue to remain weather aware!
Michael, thanks for your posts. Just (13:00 CST) looked at the DFX radar and found it fascinating. In my experience it's rare to see a low pressure system far enough to the south such that it's leading edge is (RF Quad?) is just west of Del Rio. In addition, just saw a report that Del Rio has sleet and snow. How cool (pardon that pun) is that!?
ReplyDelete