Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Near Record Warm Thursday

Good Evening Folks…

We are enjoying another beautiful spring-like February day across central Texas. Temperatures as of 5 p.m. CDT are in the lower to middle 70s area wide. Temperatures will actually go up even more tomorrow (Thursday) afternoon thanks to a south southwesterly wind ahead of a weak cool front. I’m expecting highs to top out near 80°F Thursday afternoon in Austin. Locations south and west of Austin may get warmer than that. Thursday’s record high is 83°F set back in 1976…we will be close!


***A southwesterly component to the wind generally means a warming trend for us in central Texas. Air is forced to down slope, or decrease in elevation, as it travels from the higher elevations of the Sierra Madre Oriental Mountain Range in northern Mexico into central Texas. This down sloping causes the air to compress and effectively warm. A good majority of the warmest/hottest fall/winter/spring days here in central Texas featured a southwesterly wind***


F.Y.I. | the hottest temperature ever recorded in Austin in February is 99°F set back on February 21, 1996

Forecast Break Down

Tonight: 40s | clear and cool | Wind: SSW 5 mph

Thursday: 80 | sunny and warm | Wind: SSW 5-10 mph

Thursday Night: Low 50s | mostly clear and cool; there may be some patchy fog for areas south and east of Austin | Wind: SW/NW 5 mph

Friday: 77 | sunny and SLIGHTLY cooler | Wind: NW/SE 5 mph

Unfortunately, I’m not seeing any really good rainfall chances in the extended outlook other than some patchy drizzle/very light rain possible this Sunday (Valentine’s Day).
Long range models continue to indicate well above normal temperatures for a good majority of the month with perhaps the potential for some colder air to move into the area closer to the end of the month. Winter is not over yet.  

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