Monday, February 27, 2017

Warm, Hazy Tuesday, Cold Front Arrives Wednesday

Forecast Discussion

Monday afternoon highs came in at 82ºF at Camp Mabry and 83ºF at Austin Bergstrom International Airport. Monday's unseasonable warmth is thanks to warm, humid southerly winds off of the Gulf of Mexico and mid-level winds out of the southwest ahead of an approaching upper air disturbance that will be passing north of our area Tuesday into Wednesday morning. That upper air disturbance will likely generate some strong to severe thunderstorms across a good portion of the Mississippi River Valley Tuesday afternoon and evening with the heaviest of the storms expected to move through portions of southern Illinois, southeastern Missouri, and northern Arkansas. The Storm Prediction Center has placed those regions in an ENHANCED RISK for severe weather. Large hail, high winds and tornadoes will be possible across those areas on Tuesday.

Tuesday's Severe Weather Outlook



Tuesday in Central Texas
Not expecting any severe weather here in central Texas on Tuesday...morning clouds with patchy areas of fog and drizzle will give way to a partly cloudy and very warm afternoon with temperatures soaring into the 80s area wide. There is a very slight chance for an afternoon shower and/or thunderstorm along and east of the I-35 corridor (especially for areas north and east of Austin). Hazy conditions across the area are thanks to smoke from agricultural and industrial fires burning in Mexico. That smoke is brought into the area on southerly winds.

Refreshing Change Arrives Wednesday
A cold front will move through the area Wednesday morning and stir up some breezy northerly winds behind it for Wednesday afternoon. Those northerly winds will help to pull some significantly drier and cooler air into the state of Texas. Highs on Wednesday will top out in the lower 70s with highs tumbling into the 60s for Thursday and Friday and morning lows dropping into the 30s and 40s across the area. That will feel refreshing!!!

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