Monday, November 14, 2016

Cold Front Friday

FORECAST DISCUSSION:
The beautiful weather we experienced over the weekend is set to continue for the majority of this week. Drier air moving in at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere this afternoon and a building ridge of high pressure will result in a stretch of sunny and well above normal conditions through Thursday. Friday will be a transition day to cooler than normal weather for the upcoming weekend with the arrival of a strong cold front. Our next shot at rainfall arrives on Friday with the cold front.

November Climate Data: (Austin-Camp Mabry)
Average High: 71°F
Average Low: 51°F
Average monthly temperature (highs & lows combined): 61°F
Average Precipitation: 2.96 inches

Well Above Normal Temperatures:
Dry air and a building ridge of high pressure will give us a stretch of well above normal temperatures. Afternoon highs will be in the 80s Tuesday-Thursday. While it will be warmer than "normal" for this time of year, record highs do not look to be in jeopardy.

Current Record Highs: TEMP | YEAR SET
Tuesday: 90° | 1951
Wednesday: 87° | 1938
Thursday: 86° | 1938 

Drought Update:
The latest drought monitor, released last Thursday, November, 8th, shows that we are in pretty good shape across the area. Last week’s welcome and much-needed rain helped to temporarily ease drought conditions across the area. Much of the area is considered to be drought-free (indicated by white shading). Yellow areas represent abnormally dry conditions. Tan areas represent moderate drought. Orange areas represent severe drought. 


Friday’s Cold Front | Significantly COOLER Weekend:
As of right now, the front is looking to arrive during the late morning/early afternoon hours. As mentioned above, there will be a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms as the cold front crosses the area. No severe and/or hazardous weather is expected at this time. A sharp wind shift to the north behind the front will usher in a significantly cooler & drier Canadian air mass into the state. This cooler air mass will keep highs in the mid to upper 60s over the weekend with lows in the 30s and 40s. It’s really going to feel like fall! Most locations will escape a light freeze this time, but some of the lowest-lying valleys across the area may receive a light freeze. Temperatures will stay well above freezing in Austin. A warming trend will then take us into Thanksgiving week.


SEVEN DAY FORECAST GRAPHIC:  


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