Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Warming Trend

Forecast Discussion:
Hello folks. One more chilly day/night in store for south central Texas before temperatures around here soar to spring-like levels. Trough of upper level low pressure departing to our east will allow a dry west northwesterly wind flow to develop over the state. At the surface and aloft, high pressure is settling over the area.

This afternoon:
Mostly sunny and cool with highs topping out in the mid to upper 50s. A north northeast wind today will ensure that chilly air continues to flow into the region.

Tonight:
Clear skies, calm winds, and a dry air mass in place will allow for a cold night tonight. Lows will drop into the 30s area wide. Low-lying and out-lying areas will receive a freeze tonight. We should stay above freezing right in the heart of Austin.

Rapid Warming Trend:
After a cold start to the day on Thursday, a rapid warm-up is expected by late morning into the afternoon. Highs will easily rebound well into the mid to upper 60s, if not 70°F in some locations.

Highs will continue to rise through the weekend ahead of our next upper level storm system and its attendant surface cold front early next week. Highs on Friday will be well into the 70s with 70s and even lower 80s expected (Sunday) over the weekend. Skies will remain partly cloudy to mostly sunny through the weekend with winds out of the south jogging back and forth from southwesterly to southerly to southeasterly.

Record Warmth Possible Sunday:
The record high on Sunday is 83°F (set back in 1911)...We are definitely going to be close!

The record high on Sunday at the airport is 82°F (set back in 1971)

Cooler/Windy Early Next Week with a slight chance of a Shower/Storm:
Monday will still be warm and breezy with highs in the 70s ahead of a potent upper level storm system and its attendant surface cold front.

Slight chance for a shower/storm Monday night/early Tuesday with the passage of a cold front that will set us up for a cooler and what looks to be WINDY Tuesday across the area. Cooler air looks to filter into the area for the middle of next week behind this storm system.

The next seven days as I see them right now.... 
(Forecast icons below courtesy of The Weather Channel)





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