Hello everybody. I hope all of you are doing well. I've finally got some good news. It looks like rain and slightly cooler weather are finally on the way thanks to an early September cold front. Now don't expect to pull out the parka anytime soon, but some added cloud cover, rain, and a shift in wind direction should all contribute to some cooler and eventually drier air around here. We have been on a triple digit streak since the weekend, but that ended today as the mercury only (haha) soared to 99ºF...thanks Mother Nature.
Latest surface analysis as of 11:20 p.m. CDT showed a weak, stationary frontal boundary draped across Oklahoma extending west southwest through the TX Panhandle and into southern New Mexico. That front will continue to push slowly south over the next several days and as it does so, will work to boost our chances for showers and thunderstorms (doesn't that sound refreshing?)
Widespread showers and thunderstorms formed along that frontal boundary today across Oklahoma and the TX Panhandle and are still ongoing...heaviest activity is now located in southeastern Oklahoma as of 11 p.m. CDT Tuesday evening
Latest runs of the high resolution forecast models continue to indicate scattered showers and storms moving into south central Texas Wednesday afternoon...I think our best rain chances will come late Wednesday into Thursday as the actual frontal boundary (a.k.a. cold front) moves into the area. Quick weather lesson: a cold front in very simple terms is a boundary that separates two different air masses, in this case, drier continental air (or air originating over the continent) and sticky, tropical Gulf of Mexico air. As those two air masses meet, air along the boundary is forced to rise. It is in fact the dynamic lift produced by the cold front that allows, when given the correct conditions, for showers and storms to develop...I'm keeping my fingers crossed we are going to see some of that around here over the next several days.
If things go as planned over the next several days we could see up to an inch of rain in spots with most areas averaging between 0.25 to 0.50 inches of rain. At this point, we will take every drop we can get. Given the added clouds and chances for precipitation highs will come down slightly over the next several days into the lower to middle 90s vs. the upper 90s and 100s...by the time we get into the weekend slightly drier air will help it feel a little cooler around here (especially during the nighttime and early morning hours with lows dipping into the 60s and lower 70s, however, it will still be warm in the afternoon with highs in the lower to middle 90s.
Remember, it is still September after all, and we really don't see our first significant cool down until the end of September into October, but hey, I'm not complaining. At least we are heading in the right direction.
***Just a brief reminder, WHEN THUNDER ROARS, GO INDOORS***
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