Friday, October 10, 2014

The Tale of Two Fronts

TGIF Everybody! We have got a little bit of everything in this weekend's forecast. We officially set a brand new record high of 93ºF at the airport today beating the previous record of 91ºF set back in 1999. A trough of low pressure pushing east over Texas combined with a surface cold front will give us a good chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms beginning late tonight through Saturday morning. The cold front I am watching is currently draped across the Big Country, just northwest of the San Angelo area. This front will continue to push towards the southeast tonight into early Saturday. I'm expecting a line of storms to develop along and just behind the frontal boundary as it moves through central Texas early Saturday morning. Strongest storms tonight will be capable of gusty winds to 50 mph, frequent cloud to ground lightning, heavy rain and small hail. 

Simulated High Res Radar Reflectivity: 



Cooler weather will move in behind the storms on Saturday with highs only expected to be in the 70s; northerly winds behind Saturday morning's front will quickly turn back out of the south by late Saturday night and set us up for our next chance of storms on Monday. There is a slight chance for a brief shower on Sunday, but the highest rain chances will hold off until Monday morning. Highs will be in the 80s on Sunday. Monday's storms will develop ahead of a strong upper level storm system (trough of low pressure) and its attendant strong cold front. Storms that develop early Monday morning along the front will have the potential to become severe with strong gusty winds being the main threat. Windy, drier, and much cooler behind the front on Monday with highs in the 70s! Beautiful stretch of weather expected next week behind Monday's cold front with chilly mornings in the 40s and 50s and warm afternoons in the 70s and 80s under a beautiful blue sky. 

Forecast Trough of Low Pressure over the central US on Monday:


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