Severe Weather on the Way!

Hello everybody! I hope you are all doing well. I know it has been a while since I last posted. Well, moisture levels have really come up across the area from just 24 hours ago thanks to a southerly surface wind flow off of the Gulf of Mexico...those breezy southerly winds will persist through Friday ahead of our next strong storm system and frontal boundary that will work together to bring us a very good chance for thunderstorms on Friday. 

The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has placed central Texas under the SLIGHT RISK CATEGORY for severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes on Thursday and Friday. Honestly, I think areas north and west of Austin will have the greatest risk for severe weather on Thursday, however, severe storms will still be a possibility in Austin. The greater risk for severe weather comes on Friday as a Pacific Frontal Boundary attached to a low pressure system clashes with the warm, humid air over central Texas.

Forecast Radar for Friday Evening: Storms develop in Hill Country and push east towards Austin!

Thursday's Severe Weather Risk Area: 

Friday's Severe Weather Risk Area:

Besides the threats for large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes, latest computer models continue to indicate a good soaking for much of central Texas with the storms that are expected to arrive late Thursday and persist through Saturday. Of course the storms will come in waves, it is not going to be storming for 48 hours straight. Highs will continue in the 80s through the next seven days with lows in the 60s!

GFS Forecast Rainfall Accumulation: 0.50-1.50 inches

NAM Forecast Rainfall Accumulation: 1-2 inches

Weather Prediction Center's Forecast Rainfall Accumulation: 1-2 inches

Mother's Day Forecast: As of now, Mother's Day looks to be partly sunny and warm with highs in the lower 80s. Rain will have moved well east of central Texas by then. Overall, looks to be a nice day.