Tuesday, November 27, 2012

When is it going to rain?!

The last time we received measurable rainfall here in Austin was back on October 26th when we received 0.11 inches of rainfall. It has been over a month now since we saw our last rainfall. Things are getting dangerously dry again. In fact, we have not received even a trace of rainfall at Camp Mabry all month long. It has been since 1897 since no measurable rainfall has been reported in the month of November here in Austin! Incredible! The latest drought monitor has placed much of Central Texas in the moderate to severe drought level. Unfortunately, the drought is expected to persist and worsen thanks to a non-existent El Niño; El Niño is famous for bringing wetter and cooler than normal weather conditions to Central Texas during the winter.

Taking a look at the latest forecast models (shown below), our next chance at rainfall looks to arrive next Tuesday (December 4th) with the arrival of our next cold front and storm system which will impact a good chunk of the United States next week. Storms will be possible ahead of the low pressure system from the Canadian border all the way down to the Mexican border. Early forecast models are predicting as much as 0.50 inches of rainfall across south central Texas when all is said and done. Once again, it looks like areas along and east of the Interstate 35 corridor will have the best shot at receiving rainfall, however, it is still too early to know for sure. 



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