Monday, November 6, 2017

Roller Coaster Weather

Forecast Discussion


Hello folks! After a stretch of very warm and humid weather with highs in the 80s and lows in the 70s, the weather will be turning sharply colder by as early as tomorrow evening and especially on Wednesday.


Current Temperatures across the nation as of 5 p.m. CST...much colder air lurking to the north...we are the warm spot here in Central and South Texas


Near Record Highs Today



The temperature soared to 88°F this afternoon in Austin at Camp Mabry, missing the record high for this date of 89°F set back in 1963 by just one degree. Today's high of 88°F is 13 degrees above "average" for this time of year and our morning low of 72°F is 18 degrees above average for this time of year.

Tuesday Evening Cold Front


The "well-advertised" cold front that will be returning fall weather to the area is looking to arrive Tuesday evening with gradually falling temperatures behind it. Temperatures will drop from the 70s and 80s Thursday afternoon into the 40s and 50s by the time we are all waking up Wednesday morning. Highs Wednesday will actually occur at midnight as temperatures are expected to hover or slowly tick down through the day. The majority of the day will be spent in the 50s across the area, with 40s for areas north and west of the city of Austin. In addition to the chilly temperatures, scattered light rain is likely to fall on and off through the day as an overrunning pattern develops across the area (warm, humid air being forced to rise up and over the cooler air at the surface). This is a typical fall/winter weather pattern for us here in central Texas. Rainfall amounts will be very light. It will be more of a nuisance type rain. Rain, chilly temps, and a breezy north wind will make for a raw, Pacific northwest type of day across the area on Wednesday.

Forecast Model Showing Front Approaching Austin at 5 p.m. Tuesday evening
(NAM Hi-Res Forecast Model)



Forecast Temperatures for 1 p.m. Wednesday afternoon 
(NAM Hi-Res Forecast Model)

Clouds/Rain Clear Away Wednesday Night


Clouds and rain will slowly clear away Wednesday night as temperatures drop into the 40s area wide and potentially some upper 30s for areas north and west of the Austin Metro Area. No freezing temperatures and/or frozen precipitation are expected.

Brisk End to the Week


After a chilly start to the day on Thursday in the upper 30s-mid 40s afternoon highs will only manage the lower 60s under a mainly sunny sky...lows dip back into the 40s Thursday night before temperatures begin to warm a bit further towards the 70°F mark by Friday afternoon as southeasterly winds slowly return to the area.

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