Sunday, October 1, 2017

Rain Chances Returning

Forecast Discussion
Welcome to October! After a wet and dreary week, the sun finally came out this weekend across central Texas. Moisture will be on the increase as we start the new week. That increase in tropical moisture will lead to the chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms across the area on Tuesday and Wednesday. The clockwise wind flow around high pressure centered across the southeastern United States will allow for that tropical Gulf moisture to move into the area.

Rain opportunities Tuesday and Wednesday will be driven by daytime heating as there will be no focus (i.e. a cold front) for showers and storms to develop along. While I’m not expecting very impressive rainfall totals (generally between ½ to 1 inch of rain), some locally higher amounts will be possible for those locations that see more thunderstorm activity (rainfall rates higher in storms).


By Thursday, high pressure will begin to take control of our weather and allow for conditions to dry out and clear out.  

Long Range Outlook
The 8-14 day outlook courtesy of the Climate Prediction Center valid for October 9-15th is forecasting cooler than average temperatures and drier than average rainfall (see images below). True fall air may be right around the corner.

Temperature Outlook


Precipitation Outlook

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