Rain is on the Way

Forecast Discussion

 Coming off the heels of a record warm weekend, a potent upper level low pressure system, currently located over the Baja of California, will be barreling east towards Texas over the next couple of days. As this upper level low approaches the area, our chances for showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase. Lift and instability will be increasing across the area during the day on Monday and peak Tuesday morning when a large area of showers and thunderstorms is forecast to blow through the area from west to east. Severe weather is not expected with this storm system, but some widespread beneficial rains and some sub-severe thunderstorms will be likely.

Position of Upper Level Low (late Sunday evening): 

Monday's Outlook

Rain chances will remain on the low end for much of the day Monday, but increase late Monday night into Tuesday morning as the main upper level energy with this approaching Pacific storm system nears the area. Highs will be cooler across the area Monday afternoon in the 60s & 70s thanks to a northeast wind. Prepare now for a messy Tuesday morning commute.

Tuesday's Outlook

Widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms will quickly move east by late Tuesday morning/early Wednesday morning as the upper level storm system continues its eastward track. By the time this storm is all said and done, I’m expecting a widespread 1-3 inches of rain across the area. Breezy northwest winds develop behind Tuesday morning’s rain. Those northwest winds will be pulling in a drier and cooler air mass. Highs Tuesday should only manage the 50s and 60s across the area with slowly clearing skies.

Forecast Radar Reflectivity [valid 6 a.m. CST Tuesday]

Wednesday & Beyond

High pressure builds into the area on Wednesday setting the stage for a mostly sunny, dry and beautiful stretch of weather for the remainder of the work week with highs in the 60s Wednesday and Thursday and lows in the 30s and 40s; 70s return by Friday.