Monday, February 19, 2018

Heavy Rain Threat

TUESDAY AM STORMS (MAINLY WEST OF AUSTIN)

Showers and thunderstorms likely to move across the Hill Country early Tuesday morning. Per the latest high resolution forecast models, most the storms Tuesday morning will stay west and northwest of the Austin Metro Area. Some of the storms early Tuesday will have the potential to be on the strong side with heavy downpours, frequent cloud to ground lightning, gusty winds, and perhaps some small hail. These storms have the potential to put out a quick 1-2 inches of rain. It is not out of the question for some of these storms to side swipe portions of the Austin Metro Area early Tuesday.

Forecast Radar Tuesday 5AM (HRRR Model)



HEAVY RAIN THREAT LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY

***Widespread Showers and Storms likely Tuesday Night into Wednesday***

A cold front moving across the area late Tuesday into Wednesday, upper level energy, and plentiful amounts of Gulf moisture will lead to the development of widespread showers and thunderstorms. These storms will have the potential to drop 1-3 inches of rain across the area along with dangerous cloud to ground lightning. Some isolated locations may receive upwards of 4-5 inches of rain. While some small hail and gusty thunderstorm winds cannot be ruled out, the biggest weather threat is going to be the potential for heavy rain. Should and if flash flooding becomes a concern remember, TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN


Forecast Rainfall Accumulation Graphic (courtesy of the National Weather Service)


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