Saturday, October 1, 2016

Eyes on Matthew

Forecast Discussion:
Hello everybody. I hope all of you are having a wonderful weekend thus far. We have been enjoying an absolutely beautiful stretch of fall weather this past week behind two cold fronts that moved through the area this week. The first front arrived on Monday with a second, slightly stronger cold front to follow it on Thursday. Northerly surface winds have allowed for the drier and cooler air mass to remain in place. That will be changing as we head into the new week. Southerly winds will return as early as Monday and allow for muggy Gulf Air to return to the area for Tuesday-Thursday ahead of our next cold front that is forecast to arrive on Friday. Significant rain chances are not in the forecast between now and next weekend. A stray shower or two cannot be ruled out during the coming week (Wednesday-Friday time period).

Tonight's Forecast: Widespread clouds and scattered sprinkles have kept temperatures mainly in the 70s this afternoon with a few locations just now beginning to touch and/or exceed the 80°F mark...clouds will continue to push east overnight setting us up for a mostly clear & cool night with lows dipping into the 50s and lower 60s area wide.

Sunday's Forecast: Mainly sunny & warmer with highs rebounding into the middle to upper 80s, still nice and dry!

Hurricane Matthew:
Latest Numbers on Hurricane Matthew (as of 4pm CDT)
Center Location: 13.5 N | 73.4 W
Maximum Sustained Wind: 150 mph | Gusting to 185 mph
Movement: NW at 5 mph
Minimum Pressure: 940 millibars (mb)

While things are relatively quiet for us here in central Texas, it's a whole lot different for folks in the Caribbean. Category 4 Hurricane Matthew is churning just north of the Colombian Coast and is forecast to track north and maintain its intensity as it approaches Jamaica and Haiti on Monday, followed by Cuba Monday into Tuesday and eventually into the Bahamas Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Matthew has "weakened" slightly from last night when it was upgraded to a category 5 storm, the strongest categorical strength with maximum sustained winds of 160 mph. The last category 5 storm to affect the Atlantic Basin was Hurricane Felix back in 2007. Matthew is proving to be a very dynamic and dangerous storm. Matthew has undergone rapid intensification...he was only a category one storm on Thursday and last night he was upgraded to a category 5! Very warm ocean waters and available moisture. For an in depth analysis of Hurricane Matthew click HEREFolks along the eastern seaboard will need to keep a very close eye on Matthew's forecast track.

Latest Forecast Track from the National Hurricane Center: 
Click HERE to access the National Hurricane Center's Website


Latest Visible Satellite Image:


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