Well folks, we officially did it. We climbed to 106°F
this afternoon at Austin’s Camp Mabry which beat the previous record high for
this date of 104°F set all the way back in the hot summer of 1923. Austin
Bergstrom International Airport also set a brand new record high of 105°F this
afternoon beating their previous record high of 103°F set back in 1956. Strong
ridge of high pressure centered across the four corners region is allowing for
strong subsidence (sinking air) across the state of Texas, hence, the lack of
cloud coverage across the region the past couple of days. Sinking air
compresses and heats up rapidly. With plenty of sun and relatively dry ground,
temps were able to skyrocket today. Add to that combination an approaching
frontal boundary, which actually makes conditions even HOTTER ahead of it
thanks to additional compression.
Check out this giant ridge of high pressure (that is one big mountain of hot air)-
I just finished scanning all of the latest computer
models and they are indicating that Saturday has the potential to be even
HOTTER than today. The record high on Saturday for Austin is 105°F set back in
the very hot summer of 2009. Some forecast models want to push highs to near
110°F across the region for Saturday. While models may be over estimating a
bit, I’m still thinking temperatures will likely range anywhere from 103-107°F
across central Texas on Saturday. The only difference on Saturday is that
moisture levels may begin to creep up a bit more in the mid-levels of the
atmosphere above central Texas which could aid a few spotty, but STRONG storms
to form across the area. These storms would be capable of very strong, damaging
winds given the extreme heat.
High Resolution NAM Forecast Model for Saturday (Forecast High Temps)-
As “cooler” air begins to filter into the region early
Sunday morning, highs are likely to stay below 100°F with a chance for showers
and storms. With high pressure pushing farther off to the west and a trough of
low pressure setting up across Texas, northwesterly winds in the upper levels
of the atmosphere would help to carry disturbances (areas of lift/complexes of
showers and storms) out of eastern New Mexico into central Texas. At least one
of the forecast models shows a cluster of storms moving into central Texas
Sunday evening.
Forecast Radar Sunday afternoon/evening:
National Temps as of this afternoon: Anywhere shaded in white is above 100°F...anywhere shaded in purple is above 90°F! Anywhere shaded in gray is above 110°F!!!
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